The role of possibly high carcinogenic risk human papilloma virus the development of cervical malignant pathology: systematic review and meta-analysis


DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.18565/epidem.2023.13.4.106-14

Vinogradova N.A., Domonova E.A., Vinokurov M.A., Popova A.A.

Central Research Institute of Epidemiology of Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia
Objective. Evaluation of the prevalence of possibly high carcinogenic risk (possibly HCR) human papillomavirus (HPV) and its contribution to the development of malignant cervical neoplasms with an assessment of the reliability of the data obtained depending on the diagnostic approaches used.
Materials and methods. The search in the MEDLINE (PubMed), CyberLeninka, and eLibrary databases (search depth – 21 years) was performed. In total, more than 400 articles in Russian, English, and German were analyzed. Statistical analyses of results and data visualization were performed in the R environment.
Results. It was found that the proportion of possibly HCR HPV from all HPV-positive results among conditionally healthy women (n = 20,989) was 14% (95% CI 9–20), in the group with a cytological conclusion LSIL and ASCUS (n = 2785) – 20% (95% CI 13–29). Among patients with a cytological conclusion HSIL and «cervical cancer» (n = 6316), the frequency of detection of possibly HCR HPV 26, 53, 66, 67 68, 70, 73, 82 types was a total of 6% (95% CI 3–16). When different diagnostic approaches are used simultaneously to exclude false-negative results, the number of HPV-negative cases of cervical cancer was 1% (95% CI 0–2). The comparable level of type-specific transforming activity of HCR and possibly HCR HPV indicates that possibly HCR HPV may be the only prognostic factor for the development of cervical cancer.
Conclusion. The data obtained indicate the need to recommend the inclusion of HPV of possibly HCR in epidemiological monitoring and screening programs for malignant cervical pathology.

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About the Autors


Nadezhda А. Vinogradova, Junior Researcher, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Surveillance of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; klimova@cmd.su; http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3288-0244
Elvira A. Domonova, Cand. Boil. Sci., Head, Scientific Group for the Development of New Methods for Diagnosis of Opportunistic and Human Papillomavirus Infections, Russian Federal Service for Surveillance of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; еlvira.domonova@pcr.ms; http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8262-3938
Michail A. Vinokurov, Junior Researcher, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Surveillance of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; vinokurov@cmd.su; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4101-0702
Anna A. Popova, Cand. Med. Sci., Senior Researcher, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Surveillance of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; asya-med@mail.ru; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9484-5917


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