Русский
Comparative analysis of the incidence of COVID-19 among the population of Moscow and the organized groups of dormitories during the pandemic
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.18565/epidem.2021.11.2.36-41
Zadoroshnyi A.V., Pshenichnaya N.Yu., Ugleva S.V., Erovichenkov A.A., Akimkin V.G., Maleev V.V.
1) Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; 2) M.P. Chumakov Federal Research Center for Trials and Design of Immunobiological Preparations, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia; 3) Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, Ministry of Health of Russia, Moscow, Russia
Materials and methods. A selective longitudinal prospective analytical study was conducted in the period April 12 to June 23, 2020 in 350 COVID-19 foci formed in the Moscow dormitories with a total number of 3,228 cases compared to the dynamics of a daily increase/decrease in COVID-19 cases among the population of Moscow, as shown by official statistics.
Results. There was a direct relationship of the change in the number of COVID-19 cases among the residents of dormitories to the intensity of a daily increase in new cases of diseases in Moscow (r = 0.81; p = 0.0001) in the period April 12 to June 23, 2020. Over the same period, the changes in the number of foci in the dormitories was strongly correlated with the daily increase in new COVID-19 cases (r = 0.72; p = 0.0001). The similar results were observed when studying the trend in the incidence of COVID-19 in the dormitories of the city, which had a significant correlation with the trend in the incidence of this disease in the population of Moscow (r = 0.6; p = 0.00000002).
Conclusion. The study has demonstrated the effectiveness of timely and comprehensive antiepidemic measures in the foci of COVID-19 in the dormitories at the metropolitan level. The introduced restrictive measures are fundamental in the formation of a change in the trend in the incidence of this disease in the population in both the megalopolis itself and organized groups.
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About the Autors
Aleksander V. Zadoroshnyi, Resident, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; AlezanderZadoroshnyy@yandex.ru
Professor Natalia Yu. Pshenichnaya, MD, Deputy Director of Clinical and Analytical Work, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; natalia-pshenichnaya@yandex.ru; http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2570-711X
Svetlana V., Ugleva, MD, Associate Professor, Adviser, Organization and Guidance Department, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; e-mail: uglevas@bk.ru; ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1322-0155
Professor Aleksander A. Erovichenkov, MD, Leading Specialist, M.P. Chumakov Federal Scientific Center for Trials and Design of Immunological Preparations, Russian Academy of Sciences; Professor, Department of Infectious Diseases, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, Moscow, Russia; alexerov1@list.ru; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5087-6946
Professor Vasily G. Akimkin, MD, Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Director, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; crie@pcr.ru; http://orcid.org/ 0000-0003-4228-9044
Professor Viktor V. Maleev, MD, Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Expert Advisor for Director, Central Research Institute for Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being, Moscow, Russia; maleyev@pcr.ru; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5748-178X
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